WILMINGTON, NC (WECT)- Your First Alert weather team continues to monitor Tropical Storm Chantal.
LATEST ON CHANTAL: Tropical Storm Chantal is making its move into the Caribbean pumping 50 mph winds. Central minimum pressure has run around 1010mb - which is high for a storm with closed circulation and tropical storm forced winds. That pressure is expected to drop, and the storm expected to strengthen as it looses forward speed, encounters less shear and moves over warmer waters over the next couple of days.
TRACK FORECAST: Chantal will impact the eastern Caribbean today and the mountainous Islands of Hispanola and [southeastern] Cuba midweek. If it survives, as most major weather forecast models indicate it will, we will have to pay close attention going into the weekend.
INTENSITY FORECAST: Chantal may not organize into a hurricane because of a) fast storm motion in the short term b) interaction with mountains in the middle of the week and c) wind shear late in the week and the weekend. Chantal will likely be a weak tropical storm, a tropical depression, or perhaps even a remnant system by the weekend.
HOW WILL IT AFFECT NORTH CAROLINA? As stated above, Chantal is not at this time likely to be a strong, land falling North Carolina system. However, with it in our general region late in the week and the weekend, it's possible some of its moisture may be incorporated into a cold frontal zone in the area. For that region, 40 - 60% rain chances are necessary for the Thursday-through-Sunday period.
Thanks for staying with your First Alert Weather team for updates! And please download our 2013 hurricane survival guide.
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